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SpaceX stock

SpaceX falls to $115.26 after Tom Sosnoff called for a drop below $135

Published3 min readWritten and reviewed by ReturnLab Editorial

Tom Sosnoff said in June that SpaceX shares would trade below their $135 IPO price. SPCX first closed below that level on July 16 and ended July 22 at $115.26.

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SpaceX closed at $115.26 on July 22, more than a month after Tom Sosnoff said the stock would fall below its $135 IPO price.

SpaceX shares closed at $115.26 on July 22, 2026, down 6.70% in the U.S. regular session. The move came 34 days after options trader and thinkorswim co-founder Tom Sosnoff said the stock would trade below its $135 initial public offering price.

SPCX first closed below the IPO price at $131.11 on July 16. It continued lower over the following sessions and reached its lowest closing price since the listing on July 22.

Sosnoff called for a move below $135

In an interview published by Benzinga’s The Drift on June 18, Sosnoff said he felt strongly that SpaceX would trade below $135. He expected the decline to happen before the end of 2026.

Sosnoff also said he had sold his entire SpaceX allocation at $158. He cited the stock’s valuation and unusually expensive call options among his reasons for avoiding a long-term position.

The forecast identified a price threshold, not an exact closing price or date. Sosnoff did not predict the July 22 close of $115.26, and there is no public evidence that he opened a short position or profited from the subsequent decline.

Shares first closed below the IPO price on July 16

SpaceX priced its IPO at $135 a share and began trading under the ticker SPCX on June 12. The stock climbed as high as $225.64 during the June 16 session, four days after its market debut.

One month later, SPCX closed at $131.11 on July 16. That was its first regular-session close below the offering price and came 28 days after Sosnoff’s comments were published.

Price pointPrice
June 12 IPO price$135.00
June 16 intraday high$225.64
July 16 close$131.11
July 22 close$115.26

The July 22 close was 14.6% below the IPO price

SPCX fell $8.28, or 6.70%, on July 22. It traded as low as $115.19 before ending the session at $115.26.

The closing price was 14.6% below the $135 offering price and 48.9% below the June 16 intraday high. Those comparisons use the latest completed U.S. regular session and do not include unsettled premarket or after-hours trading.